One of the central themes of the analyses is certainly the impact that this virus can have on mortality respect to the situation in absence of Covid-19 considering also the “indirect effect” of Pandemic. Think, for example, of people who die from other diseases, because they could not find a hospital bed or because they did not go there for fear of contagion, or the reduction of road fatalities or accidents at work due to the lockdown in Italy.
In a study of the INPS (the National Social Security Institute), carried out by the Institute's "General Statistical – Actuarial Coordination", it was tried to determine a number of expected deaths in the first 4 months "baseline" based on the daily deaths observed in the last 5 years and comparing it with the number of deaths recorded in 2020; the conclusions of this study would indicate that 2020 overmortality, in the hypothesis that it is attributable to Covid-19, would show an underestimate of Covid-19 deaths compared to the data of “Protezione Civile” of about 19,000 units in the period March – April.
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